Vice President, Portfolio Risk

What you'll do

• Research emerging macro, geopolitical, policy, technological, regulatory and structural themes that could materially affect the portfolio
• Develop scenario narratives covering the nature of the event, key assumptions, likely path of development and time horizon, and recommend which risks to prioritise
• Frame analytical questions and transmission channels, identifying key risk drivers such as demand shocks, supply disruptions, interest rates, inflation, commodity prices, currencies, regulation, tariffs, technology disruption, consumer behaviour or geopolitical escalation
• Lead selected scenario workstreams from hypothesis through to portfolio implications, assessing which countries, sectors, industries and major portfolio companies are most exposed
• Analyse transmission channels through which scenario risk drivers affect industry and company fundamentals
• Challenge bottom-up assumptions on operating metrics including volumes, pricing, revenue growth, cost structure, margins, capex, working capital, cash flow and earnings
• Drive financial modelling methodology, building, adapting and maintaining fundamental stress models to quantify scenario impacts on sectors, industries and selected companies
• Gather, clean and organise data from company filings, industry sources, sell-side research, market data and internal investment materials
• Coach junior team members to work through incomplete or imperfect data and propose reasonable, transparent and well-supported analytical inputs for senior review
• Synthesise company, sector and macro analysis into clear portfolio implications and investment insights
• Translate agreed operating-metric assumptions into earnings, cash-flow and valuation impacts for affected companies and sectors
• Apply valuation methodologies including DCF and intrinsic value frameworks to estimate potential downside or upside from stress events
• Identify which assumptions matter most to valuation outcomes and where uncertainty is highest
• Prepare exhibits, charts, tables and written summaries explaining key drivers of scenario impact
• Recommend where portfolio vulnerabilities or opportunities warrant deeper attention
• Lead the team in producing materials for portfolio risk discussions and senior management decision-making
• Design and continuously refine monitoring frameworks for key macro, geopolitical and thematic risks
• Monitor macro, market, industry, company, policy, geopoliti